Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 108.403600 123.191366 139.493908 158.839005 181.219029 206.355638 236.810113
2026-01-11 86.320045 105.411373 128.207460 157.583940 194.653117 240.158289 300.683328
2026-01-18 75.248625 96.734817 123.906856 161.096735 211.145757 276.834659 370.678022
2026-01-25 66.111220 88.511421 118.162774 160.761044 221.170688 304.946042 431.984181
2026-02-01 59.784790 82.881572 114.683055 162.339410 233.106118 336.162479 501.044413
2026-02-08 53.429768 76.307053 108.886687 159.520787 237.784112 356.759627 556.388272
2026-02-15 49.277766 72.341860 106.233240 160.733814 248.219337 386.759015 630.083011
2026-02-22 45.896130 69.103811 104.206083 162.470340 259.362790 418.818805 711.317387
2026-03-01 41.717382 64.202982 99.077488 158.588271 260.678841 434.514263 766.010214
2026-03-08 38.255303 60.089056 94.756382 155.472891 262.738848 451.406716 824.831960
2026-03-15 35.565687 56.965687 91.717376 154.127538 267.572521 473.520860 896.338272
2026-03-22 34.477917 56.369231 92.772510 159.911193 285.717210 521.992444 1026.654413
2026-03-29 32.685511 54.638853 92.097207 163.216095 301.000718 569.666219 1169.393779
2026-04-05 30.285030 51.668539 89.029509 161.895405 307.520563 601.646525 1286.201825
2026-04-12 28.866653 50.285829 88.629689 165.514020 324.205516 656.727651 1465.465404
2026-04-19 27.054615 48.012151 86.352802 165.167981 332.652623 695.533668 1614.462364
2026-04-26 25.672789 46.402138 85.148699 166.794628 345.423563 745.700007 1801.719089
2026-05-03 23.888286 43.871405 81.930597 163.889816 347.873289 772.653778 1935.167826
2026-05-10 22.733594 42.452503 80.753477 165.139914 359.789532 823.703196 2144.179717
2026-05-17 21.731578 41.244870 79.879694 166.929566 373.169493 880.429128 2382.070088
2026-05-24 20.242741 38.941619 76.560868 162.928823 372.218036 900.888019 2519.192919
2026-05-31 18.956469 36.950981 73.723760 159.718450 372.785118 925.404170 2674.462493
2026-06-07 17.938446 35.436190 71.765510 158.332142 377.744677 962.484460 2878.280480